Примечания

Примечания

[1] D. Kahneman and A. Tversky. On the Psychology of Prediction // Psychological Review 80 (1973): 237–51.

[2] Ibid.

[3] Ibid.

[4] D. Kahneman and A. Tversky. Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness // Cognitive Psychology 3 (1972): 430–54.

[5] Ibid.

[6] W. Edwards. Conservatism in Human Information Processing // Formal Representation of Human Judgment, ed. B. Kleinmuntz (New York: Wiley, 1968): 17–52.

[7] D. Kahneman and A. Tversky. Subjective Probability.

[8] A. Tversky and D. Kahneman. Belief in the Law of Small Numbers // Psychological Bulletin 76 (1971): 105–10.

[9] D. Kahneman and A. Tversky. On the Psychology of Prediction.

[10] Ibid.

[11] Ibid.

[12] Ibid.

[13] A. Tversky and D. Kahneman. Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability // Cognitive Psychology 5 (1973): 207–32.

[14] Ibid.

[15] C. Galbraith and B. J. Underwood. Perceived Frequency of Concrete and Abstract Words // Memory amp Cognition 1 (1973): 56–60.

[16] A. Tversky and D. Kahneman. Availability.

[17] L. J. Chapman and J. P. Chapman. Genesis of Popular but Erroneous Psychodiagnostic Observations // Journal of Abnormal Psychology 73 (1967): 193–204; L. J. Chapman and J. P. Chapman. Illusory Correlation as an Obstacle to the Use of Valid Psychodiagnostic Signs // Journal of Abnormal Psychology 74 (1969): 271–80.

[18] P. Slovic and S. Lichtenstein. Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgme nt // Organizational Behavior amp Human Performance 6 (1971): 649–744.

[19] M. Bar-Hillel. On the Subjective Probability of Compound Events // Organizational Behavior amp Human Performance 9 (1973): 396–406.

[20] J. Cohen, E. I. Chesnick, and D. Haran. A Confirmation of the Inertial-Ш Effect in Sequential Choice and Decision // British Journal of Psychology 63 (1972): 41–46.

[21] M. Alpert and H. Raiffa, unpublished manuscript; C. A. Stael von Holstein. Two Techniques for Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions: An Experimental Study // Acta Psychologica 35 (1971): 478–94; R. L. Winkler. The Assessment of Prior Distributions in Bayesian Analysis // Journal of the American Statistical Association 62 (1967): 776–800.

[22] Kahneman and Tversky. Subjective Probability; Tversky and Kahneman. Availability.

[23. Kahneman and Tversky. On the Psychology of Prediction; Tversk y and Kahneman. Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.

[24] L. J. Savage. The Foundations of Statistics (New York: Wiley, 1954).

[25] Ibid.; B. de Finetti. Probability: Interpretations // International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, ed. D. E. Sills, vol. 12 (New York: Macmillan, 1968): 496–505.